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Salim S. Abdool Karim, FRS
Director: CAPRISACAPRISA Professor of Global Health, Columbia UniversityCo-Chair: Ministerial Advisory Committee on COVID-19Member: African Task Force for CoronavirusPro Vice-Chancellor (Research): University of KwaZulu-Natal Adjunct Professor in Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard University Adjunct Professor of Medicine: Cornell University
The 2
nd
Covid-19 wave in South Africa:Transmissibility & a 501.V2 variant
Ministerial Briefing, 18 December 2020
CAPRISA hosts aMRC HIV-TB Pathogenesis and Treatment Research UnitCAPRISA hosts a DoH-MRC Special Initiative for HIV Prevention TechnologyCAPRISA is the UNAIDS CollaboratingCentre for HIV Research and PolicyCAPRISA hosts a DST-NRF Centre of Excellence in HIV Prevention
050010001500200025003000350001000200030004000500060007000800090001000011000120001300014000
0 5 - M a r 1 2 - M a r 1 9 - M a r 2 6 - M a r 0 2 - A p r 0 9 - A p r 1 6 - A p r 2 3 - A p r 3 0 - A p r 0 7 - M a y 1 4 - M a y 2 1 - M a y 2 8 - M a y 0 4 - J u n 1 1 - J u n 1 8 - J u n 2 5 - J u n 0 2 - J u l 0 9 - J u l 1 6 - J u l 2 3 - J u l 3 0 - J u l 0 6 - A u g 1 3 - A u g 2 0 - A u g 2 7 - A u g 0 3 - S e p 1 0 - S e p 1 7 - S e p 2 4 - S e p 0 1 - O c t 0 8 - O c t 1 5 - O c t 2 2 - O c t 2 9 - O c t 0 5 - N o v 1 2 - N o v 1 9 - N o v 2 6 - N o v 0 3 - D e c 1 0 - D e c 1 7 - D e c
7 - d a y m o v i n g a v e r a g e o f d a i l y a d m i s s i o n s t o D A T C O V s e n t i n e l h o s p i t a l s a n d d e a t h s 7 - d a y m o v i n g a v e r a g e o f d a i l y c a s e s
Hospital admissionsCasesDeaths
Level 5 doubling: 15 daysBefore lockdownDoubling: 2 daysLevel 4 doubling: 12 daysLevel 3 doubling –Jun-16 Aug: 25 daysL2 doubling –17 Aug –20 Sept: 206 daysL1 doubling –21 Sept –28 Nov: 276 days
New casesDeathsHospitalAdmissions
Source of hospital admissions data: Lucille Blumberg and WaasilaJassat–DATCOV, NICD
Covid-19 in South Africa
7-day moving average of new cases, sentinel hospital admissions and Covid-19 deaths –to 17 Dec
(892,813)(24,011)
L1 doubling (start of 2
nd
wave) –29 Nov –16 Dec: 102days
(116,335)
KwaZulu-Natal
Gauteng
Eastern CapeWestern CapeNational
051015202530354045
0 5 - M a r 1 2 - M a r 1 9 - M a r 2 6 - M a r 0 2 - A p r 0 9 - A p r 1 6 - A p r 2 3 - A p r 3 0 - A p r 0 7 - M a y 1 4 - M a y 2 1 - M a y 2 8 - M a y 0 4 - J u n 1 1 - J u n 1 8 - J u n 2 5 - J u n 0 2 - J u l 0 9 - J u l 1 6 - J u l 2 3 - J u l 3 0 - J u l 0 6 - A u g 1 3 - A u g 2 0 - A u g 2 7 - A u g 0 3 - S e p 1 0 - S e p 1 7 - S e p 2 4 - S e p 0 1 - O c t 0 8 - O c t 1 5 - O c t 2 2 - O c t 2 9 - O c t 0 5 - N o v 1 2 - N o v 1 9 - N o v 2 6 - N o v 0 3 - D e c 1 0 - D e c 1 7 - D e c
7 - d a y m o v i n g a v e r a g e o f n a t i o n a l d a i l y c a s e s p e r 1 0 0 , 0 0 0 p o p u l a t i o n
KwaZulu-NatalGautengLimpopoMpumalangaNorth WestEastern CapeWestern CapeFree StateNorthern CapeNational
Confirmed SARS-Cov-2 cases by province
(7-day moving average cases per 100,000 population –up to 17 December)
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